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Peak Oil Advice - Bill DeWinter
      

"Peak oil" is the term used to describe the situation when the amount of oil that can be extracted from the earth in a given year begins to decline, because geological limitations are reached. Extracting oil becomes more and more difficult, so that costs escalate and the amount of oil produced begins to decline. The term peak oil generally relates to worldwide production, but a similar phenomenon exists for individual countries and other smaller areas.

M. King Hubbert first used the theory in 1956 to accurately predict that United States oil production would peak in 1970 and go into an irreversible decline.  As seen in Figure 1 US oil output peaked in 1970 just short of 10 million barrels a day while production today stands close to 5 million.  The decline continues unabated in the face of a ten fold increase in the price of oil.  The problem is the decline is geologic not economic in origin.

London Kitchener Waterloo
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Bill DeWinter BA (Econ)
Certified Financial Planner

KW Area:  1.519.880.8171

Toll Free:  1.888.665.7534

London:  1.519.264.9988
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DeWinter Financial
Founded in 1995

CFP Since 2000

P.O. Box 781

Mt. Brydges
 

ON Canada

 N0L 1W0

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Many oil experts, by applying Hubbard’s theory to the entire planet, believe the world is either close to or has already passed peak oil production.  In fact, according to the EIA (Energy Information Agency) global production peaked in May of 2005 and has declined since.  This is in spite of the dramatic rise in oil prices since 2005.

CERA (Cambridge Energy Research Associates) is a well respected private energy consulting firm.  Their latest study indicates existing global oil fields have declining production rates of 4.5% per year.  While some will consider this number manageable it means the world needs to find a new Iran worth of production every year to maintain current output.

Using CERA’s demand growth model and conservative decline estimates, we will need 59 million barrels per day of additional oil by 2017.  This is the equivalent of discovering a new Saudi Arabia every year.  The likelihood of this happening is incredibly remote.  The result that many experts predict is that in the next decade the cost of energy will rise dramatically.

Some observers, such as petroleum industry experts Kenneth S. Deffeyes and Matthew Simmons, believe the high dependence of modern transportation, agricultural and industrial systems on cheap oil will cause severe increases in the price of oil which will have negative implications for the global economy.

Do you want to protect your portfolio from the ravages of Peak Oil?  Do you want to profit from the rising cost of energy?  Call DeWinter Financial to speak to an advisor that understands peak oil.

Call Bill DeWinter - Toll Free:  1.888.665.7534

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